← Back to review Load another dataset
Monitor PointsPal — no action required
PointsPal · placement
WATCH

WHY THIS MATTERS

A paid placement with PointsPal showed modest observed change; incrementality is not established.

WHAT'S HAPPENING

The observed change during the placement period was modest and does not establish incrementality.

WHAT WE OBSERVED

Placement month
2026-03
Placement type
Bonus points event
Placement cost
$11,000
Revenue during placement month
$118,000
Revenue prior month
$101,000

WHAT WE CALCULATED

Observed change
+16.8%

EVIDENCE VIEWS

WHAT THIS MAY MEAN

observed_pct_change: 0.1683

Inference confidence: LOW

EVIDENCE VISUALIZATION

Observed revenue — before vs. during placement

Revenue observed in the month before and during the placement for PointsPal.

Observed revenue — before vs. during placement Revenue observed in the month before and during the placement for PointsPal. Before: $101000, During: $118000 $101.0k Before placement $118.0k During placement

⚠ This is observed correlation only. It does not establish incremental or causal impact of the placement.

CONFIDENCE

Evidence strength
MEDIUM
Inference confidence
LOW

CAVEATS

  • Positive movement alone does not justify additional investment
  • Before/after comparison is not evidence of placement incrementality

DOES NOT CLAIM

  • The placement caused the revenue change
  • Repeating the placement will produce similar results

TRUST STATUS

✓ Evidence checked · AI interpretation validated

More about trust verification

Evidence available · Policy validation active · Unsupported claims blocked

Reason Codes

MODEST_UPLIFT · INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE_FOR_REPEAT

Demo environment · decisions are not persisted

HAVE A QUESTION ABOUT THIS RECOMMENDATION?

Recommendations are decision support. They do not establish causality or incrementality unless supported by appropriate evidence.
Advanced Demo Settings